Beyond Oil

13 Sep 2010

“World oil production will start to fall sometime during this decade, never to rise again,” writes Princeton University geologist Ken Deffeyes on his website, Beyond Oil.

Deffeyes is widely credited as the one who popularized the method developed by M. King Hubbert, a former Shell Oil geophysicist, who developed a method for trying to predict future oil production, based on production in the past.

Deffeyes predicted that the world’s conventional oil production would peak in 2005. He turned out to be right, although it’s too early to tell if this peak will turn out to be the all-time peak.


books I've read on failure & grace

The World Without Us
The Last Oil Shock: A Survival Guide to the Imminent Extinction of Petroleum Man
A Paradise Built in Hell: The Extraordinary Communities That Arise in Disaster
Hell and High Water: Global Warming--the Solution and the Politics--and What We Should Do
The Worst Hard Time: The Untold Story of Those Who Survived the Great American Dust Bowl
The Tipping Point
Three Cups of Tea: One Man's Mission to Promote Peace... One School at a Time
The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity and the Renewal of Civilization
Out of Poverty: What Works When Traditional Approaches Fail
The Little Ice Age: How Climate Made History, 1300-1850
Confessions of an Eco-Sinner: Tracking Down the Sources of My Stuff
Deep Economy: The Wealth of Communities and the Durable Future
The Geography of Bliss: One Grump's Search for the Happiest Places in the World

Mason's favorite books »