Scientific American, March 1998
Argues peak oil is near. Here are links to a couple of pirated versions of the article, in html format and pdf format.
Laherrère notes: “our article was chosen as one out of 25 stories in the book Censored 1998“, which carried the note:
Global Oil Reserves Alarmingly Overestimated
Colin J. Campbell and Jean H. Laherrere, two independent oil-industry consultants, predict that global production of conventional oil will start to decline within the next 10 years and be unable to keep up with demand thereafter. Their analysis contradicts oil-industry reports which suggest we have another 50 years worth of cheap oil to sustain us. As the independent report points out, economic and political motives cause oil-producing companies and countries to publish inflated figures, and this affects all of us.
Here are two recent updates on the 1998 article:
- “Revisiting “The End of Cheap Oil” by Jean Laherrère, at Energy Bulletin
- “The End of Cheap Oil, Revisited” by Colin Campbell, at ASPO-USA
Related posts:
- “Squeezing More Oil from the Ground” by Leonardo Maugeri Scientific American, October 2009...
- Read: “Energy minister will hold summit to calm rising fears over peak oil” The UK government and industry heads met to weigh up the risk of oil going into terminal decline, the Guardian...
- “The growing demand for oil is leading to a growing global conflict in which the Gulf War, the 9/11 attack, and the war in Iraq are just the first three skirmishes.” —Amos Nur, professor emeritus of geophysics, Stanford University...













