“The End of Cheap Oil” by Colin Campbell & Jean Laherrère

Scientific American, March 1998


06 Dec 2009


Scientific American, March 1998

Argues peak oil is near. Here are links to a couple of pirated versions of the article, in html format and pdf format.

Laherrère notes: “our article was chosen as one out of 25 stories in the book Censored 1998“, which carried the note:

Global Oil Reserves Alarmingly Overestimated

Colin J. Campbell and Jean H. Laherrere, two independent oil-industry consultants, predict that global production of conventional oil will start to decline within the next 10 years and be unable to keep up with demand thereafter. Their analysis contradicts oil-industry reports which suggest we have another 50 years worth of cheap oil to sustain us. As the independent report points out, economic and political motives cause oil-producing companies and countries to publish inflated figures, and this affects all of us.

Here are two recent updates on the 1998 article:

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Related posts:

  1. “Squeezing More Oil from the Ground” by Leonardo Maugeri Scientific American, October 2009...
  2. Read: “Energy minister will hold summit to calm rising fears over peak oil” The UK government and industry heads met to weigh up the risk of oil going into terminal decline, the Guardian...
  3. “The growing demand for oil is leading to a growing global conflict in which the Gulf War, the 9/11 attack, and the war in Iraq are just the first three skirmishes.” —Amos Nur, professor emeritus of geophysics, Stanford University...

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bookshelf

books I've read on failure & grace

The World Without Us
The Last Oil Shock: A Survival Guide to the Imminent Extinction of Petroleum Man
Zeitoun
A Paradise Built in Hell: The Extraordinary Communities That Arise in Disaster
Hell and High Water: Global Warming--the Solution and the Politics--and What We Should Do
The Worst Hard Time: The Untold Story of Those Who Survived the Great American Dust Bowl
The Tipping Point
Three Cups of Tea: One Man's Mission to Promote Peace... One School at a Time
The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity and the Renewal of Civilization
Out of Poverty: What Works When Traditional Approaches Fail
The Little Ice Age: How Climate Made History, 1300-1850
Confessions of an Eco-Sinner: Tracking Down the Sources of My Stuff
Deep Economy: The Wealth of Communities and the Durable Future
The Geography of Bliss: One Grump's Search for the Happiest Places in the World


Mason's favorite books »

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